A classic match in the Copa do Brasil quarterfinals: who is the favorite between Palmeiras and Santos?

Palmeiras and Santos face each other this Wednesday (25), at 21:30 pm (Brasília time), at Nubank Parque, in São Paulo. The Clássico da Saudade is valid for the first leg of the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals. A full house is expected for the match.

How are the teams arriving?

The teams arrive for the duel at different moments in the season. While Palmeiras beat Vasco last Sunday (23) by 4-1 at Nubank Parque and opened up a 6-point lead at the top of the Brazilian Championship, Santos drew 1-1 with Mirassol at Vila Belmiro and is 2 points away from the relegation zone.

In the Copa do Brasil, Palmeiras eliminated Jacuipense in the fifth round with a 7-1 aggregate score, and Fortaleza with a 5-3 aggregate score. Santos, meanwhile, reached the quarterfinals after eliminating Coritiba with a 2-0 aggregate score and Remo with a 1-0 aggregate score.

Who is the favorite?

According to the country's main betting houses, such as Aposta Ganha, BetAll, Bet, B1 BET, Betano, BETesporte, Betnational, Betsson, Betsul, Concrete, Bet.bet, Betpix365, Bigbet, Bravo.Bet, Caesars, Betting House, Bet Casino, Lucky Sports, EstrelaBet, H2bet, ICE, KTO, Lucky Throw, Lottu, MCGames, Multibet, Obabet, Onabet, PlayBet, R7, King of Pitaco, Stake, YourBet, Online Luck, Superbet, Traditional Bet, Vaidebet, Vera Bet, 7Games, 7K Bet e ZeroumbetPalmeiras is the clear favorite. The average odds for a Palmeiras victory are 1.46, while a Santos win returns around 5.83 and a draw pays 3.95 for every real bet.

Possible absences:

At Palmeiras, the only confirmed absence is right-back Jefté, who is treating a meniscus injury in his knee. Forward Sosa is doubtful for the match. On the other hand, Piquerez and Paulinho may return to the squad after partially training with the group on their return this past Monday (25).

Meanwhile, the team from the Baixada Santista region has more absences: Gabriel Menino (leg injury), Lucas Veríssimo (calf injury), and Vinicius Lira (cruciate ligament injury, out for the season).

Santos' biggest question mark is Neymar. The striker hasn't played on artificial turf since the match against Atlético-MG in 2025 at Arena MRV, and the decision regarding his participation is still open. Furthermore, if he receives another yellow card, he will miss the return leg, which will be played at Vila Belmiro next week.

Recent clashes:

The last match between the teams was in the first round of the Brasileirão. The teams drew 1-1 on May 2nd at Nubank Parque, with the visiting team taking the lead with a goal from Rollheiser, and Verdão equalizing in the second half with a goal from Flaco López.

In the history of the Copa do Brasil, the teams have faced each other twice. The first time was in the 1998 semifinals, after a 1-1 draw at the Palestra Itália Stadium and a 2-2 draw at Vila Belmiro, where Palmeiras eliminated their rival based on the old away goals rule. The second time was in the 2015 final. After Santos won the first leg 1-0, the team from the capital of São Paulo won the second leg 2-1, taking the decision to penalties. On that occasion, Palmeiras became champions of that edition, winning their first title at the old Allianz Parque.