2 million people placed bets on attacks in Iran on Polymarket. A 93% success rate raises suspicions. Understand the case.

Research identifies 25% of fictitious trades on Polymarket and reveals suspicious patterns in 14% of portfolios.

Betting The 27.03.26

Anonymous gambler wins R$ 5,2 million betting on military attacks against Iran.

An investor has accurately predicted 93% of events since 2024 on the Polymarket platform, making trades moments before US and Israeli offensives became public.