PT's tracking shows that bets and Nossa Senhora have not yet had an impact on the campaign.

The tracking commissioned by the PT (Workers' Party) indicates stability in the electoral race. Neither the increase in Bolsa Família (Family Allowance program), nor the provisional measure that eliminates bets, nor the controversy involving Our Lady of Aparecida altered the popularity ratings of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva.

The numbers reflect the same level recorded in the previous week, a result consistent with the Datafolha survey released this Friday (October 2nd). Lula maintains an advantage over Flávio Bolsonaro outside the margin of error, at the same level of votes he had at the beginning of August.

The survey, conducted by Oma Pesquisa at the request of the PT (Workers' Party), is circulating within the party's core campaign. In terms of valid votes, no variation has been recorded since mid-September. Among the 32% classified as "non-polarized," Lula and Flávio remain positioned where they were in August. The scenario for the second round also remains unchanged.

Thematic perception of the candidates

The research also assessed voters' perceptions of specific attributes. Lula is seen as the most suitable candidate "to increase the income of Brazilian families" and "to lower the prices of basic necessities for families." Flávio Bolsonaro, on the other hand, comes out ahead when the topic is the ability "to combat organized crime and violence" and "to combat corruption."

In the regional breakdown of the last five days, Flávio gained ground in the Southeast and Central-West/North regions, while Lula gained ground in the Northeast. Both candidates lost ground in the South.

Next factors to monitor

The survey has not yet captured the effects of the controversy surrounding the lack of debate on Globo and Lula's interview on Flow, both of which took place this Friday (October 2nd). The assessment is that these episodes will hardly be decisive for the outcome of the first round, scheduled for this Sunday (October 4th). The number of abstentions and null votes tends to exert a greater influence on the outcome of the voting.